RateZip Data · Home Values

Home Value Movers: tracked estimates and purchase-price comparisons

By Paul Knag, Founder, RateZip ·

Compare captured home-value estimates with recorded purchase prices and between monthly data captures. Capture dates identify when estimates were collected; they do not establish when valuations were recalculated. These tracked properties are not representative of all homes or buyers in each city.

Homes bought since 2022

This comparison uses each tracked home's latest available estimate captured between July 23, 2026 and October 1, 2026 against its recorded purchase price. Among tracked homes last purchased in 2022 or later, the median percentage difference was +6.0% versus its recorded purchase price, and 30% of those homes had an estimated value below the recorded purchase price. The lowest tracked city median for that cohort was Atlanta, Georgia at −9.8%, where 73% of 2022-and-later purchases had estimates below their price.

#CityStateMedian vs. purchaseEstimated below purchase
1AtlantaGeorgia −9.8%73%
2Little RockArkansas −6.7%57%
3JonesboroGeorgia −5.3%59%
4Fort MyersFlorida −5.2%69%
5LithoniaGeorgia −4.2%80%
6PhoenixArizona −3.6%70%
7Winter HavenFlorida −3.5%74%
8Colorado SpringsColorado −3.3%70%
9AuroraColorado −3.2%65%
10BradentonFlorida −2.9%67%
11ConyersGeorgia −2.8%68%
12RiverdaleGeorgia −2.5%66%
13MelbourneFlorida −2.5%58%
14LawrencevilleGeorgia −2.1%66%
15DenverColorado −1.9%62%
16Palm BayFlorida −1.6%57%
17TucsonArizona −1.6%59%
18KissimmeeFlorida −1.5%61%
19Port CharlotteFlorida −1.3%62%
20McDonoughGeorgia −1.1%70%
21OrlandoFlorida −0.9%58%
22MesaArizona −0.9%59%
23LakelandFlorida −0.9%56%
24Boynton BeachFlorida −0.8%57%
25New Port RicheyFlorida −0.8%56%
26JacksonvilleFlorida −0.8%55%
27Las VegasNevada −0.8%54%
28Port Saint LucieFlorida −0.7%56%
29Stone MountainGeorgia −0.7%52%
30NaplesFlorida −0.7%51%
31SarasotaFlorida −0.7%55%
32HollywoodFlorida −0.7%53%
33Vero BeachFlorida −0.7%53%
34West Palm BeachFlorida −0.6%51%
35St. AugustineFlorida −0.5%53%
36ClearwaterFlorida −0.4%50%
37CovingtonGeorgia −0.3%50%
38NashvilleTennessee −0.2%51%
39VancouverWashington −0.2%52%
40PuebloColorado −0.2%50%
41KennesawGeorgia −0.2%51%
42OcalaFlorida −0.1%50%
43Washingtonthe District of Columbia +0.2%50%
44DallasGeorgia +0.2%49%
45SpokaneWashington +0.2%49%
46SavannahGeorgia +0.4%45%
47Panama CityFlorida +0.5%49%
48MurfreesboroTennessee +0.5%47%
49Cape CoralFlorida +0.6%48%
50St. PetersburgFlorida +0.7%46%
51MemphisTennessee +0.8%48%
52GainesvilleFlorida +0.8%49%
53ClarksvilleTennessee +1.2%46%
54TacomaWashington +1.3%38%
55MariettaGeorgia +1.5%43%
56DecaturGeorgia +1.6%46%
57TampaFlorida +1.7%45%
58PortlandOregon +1.8%39%
59SacramentoCalifornia +2.0%33%
60Spring HillFlorida +2.1%38%
61San DiegoCalifornia +2.2%27%
62PensacolaFlorida +2.3%42%
63FresnoCalifornia +2.4%20%
64StocktonCalifornia +2.4%30%
65Boca RatonFlorida +2.6%43%
66MaconGeorgia +2.6%46%
67CharlotteNorth Carolina +2.7%38%
68Baton RougeLouisiana +2.9%28%
69ShreveportLouisiana +3.3%32%
70RaleighNorth Carolina +3.4%29%
71New OrleansLouisiana +3.5%42%
72EdmondOklahoma +3.8%29%
73ColumbusGeorgia +3.9%32%
74TallahasseeFlorida +4.0%33%
75San JoseCalifornia +4.0%19%
76OaklandCalifornia +4.0%23%
77CincinnatiOhio +4.1%29%
78RiversideCalifornia +4.2%14%
79ModestoCalifornia +4.3%19%
80SalemOregon +4.5%29%
81AugustaGeorgia +4.6%29%
82Fort LauderdaleFlorida +4.9%32%
83Oklahoma CityOklahoma +4.9%31%
84CummingGeorgia +4.9%32%
85ColumbusOhio +4.9%24%
86MiamiFlorida +5.0%30%
87MinneapolisMinnesota +5.0%42%
88LancasterCalifornia +5.4%8%
89SeattleWashington +5.6%38%
90St. LouisMissouri +5.7%35%
91ColumbiaSouth Carolina +5.9%30%
92Los AngelesCalifornia +6.1%14%
93Long BeachCalifornia +6.1%8%
94San FranciscoCalifornia +6.3%14%
95Des MoinesIowa +6.6%34%
96HarrisburgPennsylvania +7.6%31%
97BakersfieldCalifornia +8.0%8%
98TulsaOklahoma +8.0%13%
99PhiladelphiaPennsylvania +8.2%29%
100ChattanoogaTennessee +8.2%24%
101NorfolkVirginia +8.5%22%
102KnoxvilleTennessee +8.8%29%
103BaltimoreMaryland +9.4%27%
104PittsburghPennsylvania +10.0%26%
105LincolnNebraska +10.4%12%
106LouisvilleKentucky +10.5%13%
107OmahaNebraska +10.7%22%
108LancasterPennsylvania +11.9%18%
109WaterburyConnecticut +12.8%6%
110Virginia BeachVirginia +12.8%9%
111LexingtonKentucky +13.3%23%
112Jersey CityNew Jersey +14.2%24%
113YorkPennsylvania +14.6%17%
114Toms RiverNew Jersey +14.9%7%
115Warner RobinsGeorgia +15.3%25%
116DetroitMichigan +15.3%32%
117ChicagoIllinois +15.7%24%
118Grand RapidsMichigan +16.6%12%
119NewarkNew Jersey +17.1%31%
120St. PaulMinnesota +17.5%6%
121EriePennsylvania +17.8%18%
122LansingMichigan +19.0%12%
123RichmondVirginia +19.4%12%
124AllentownPennsylvania +20.0%15%
125RockfordIllinois +23.7%19%
126ReadingPennsylvania +24.0%11%

Cohort figures cover properties whose last arms-length purchase closed on or after January 1, 2022, each read at its most recent captured estimate between July 23, 2026 and October 1, 2026. Cities are ranked from the lowest median difference from purchase price, and the same 30+ homes floor applies to every published figure. An estimated value below purchase price does not establish negative equity: outstanding mortgage balances are not measured here.

Monthly capture comparison

Tracked home-value estimates showed a 0.0% median change between September 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026. 95.2% of matched homes had exactly the same estimate in both snapshots.

These dates identify data captures, not when each valuation was recalculated. Record-update dates do not establish valuation-effective dates. An unchanged estimate establishes neither stale valuations nor steady market prices. These tracked properties are not a representative sample of all homes in each city.

99.6% of qualifying cities had a median change of exactly 0.0%. The tables include only changes that remain non-zero at the displayed precision. Rank uses the unrounded median; values that look tied after rounding can differ before rounding.

Lower estimated values (1)

#CityStateMedian changeDirection
1McKinneyTexas −0.3%▼ Down

Higher estimated values (3)

#CityStateMedian changeDirection
1Sherman OaksCalifornia +2.0%▲ Up
2HawthorneCalifornia +2.0%▲ Up
3HyattsvilleMaryland +0.2%▲ Up

About these numbers

Home Value Movers is computed from county-record and valuation data across the properties RateZip tracks. Each edition matches the same properties city-by-city between two data captures and takes the median percent change in estimated value per city, so the figures reflect repeat observations of identical homes rather than a shifting mix of listings. A city is ranked only when it has a sufficient tracked-property sample (30+ homes). Medians and percentages only are published. Tracked properties skew toward the markets where RateZip's audience shops, so treat the figures as a description of the tracked properties. They do not establish citywide sale-price trends. See how RateZip sources data on the methodology page.

Citing these figures? Quote the city's median change with its window (September 1, 2026 to October 1, 2026) and attribute to "RateZip Home Value Movers" with a link to this page.

This edition's story: Home value movers, October 2026. More RateZip data: Mortgage Demand Index · Worst Credit Cities · Weekly Rate Moves · Reverse Mortgage Demand.